Draw Media

General Population Census ,Scientific research to predict the population of Iraq and analysis of census data from 1884 to 1997

Abstract
According to the official data published by the Iraqi Statistical Agency, the census was conducted every 10 years. According to available sources during the Ottoman rule, in 1884 the population of Iraq was 1,400,000 people, but first official census of Iraq was conducted in 1920. Population of Iraq according to this census was (2,849,282) people. The last official census in 1997, excluding the three governorates of the Kurdistan Region (Erbil, Sulaymaniyah and Duhok), the population of Iraq was 22,046,244 people.
Our aim in this study is to is to present a scientific presentation of past censuses conducted in Iraq with predict the population of Iraq for the 2024 census and the population in 2027 and show the effect of culture and time on population growth, based on statistics from 1884 to 1997 using the 'Exponential Trend' model to forecast the Iraq's population forecasted population for 2027 approximately will be 48,960,820 as well as 'impact Culture', which represents population growth by culture, resulted in 138,239 people per million people, and slope, which represents population growth over time, resulted in 16,342 people per million people.

Keywords: Iraq, Census, Forecasting